9 Oct, 2016

Football – Week 5

By |2016-10-09T10:52:20-04:00October 9th, 2016|Sports|0 Comments

My apologies for coming out with a late football post but I’ve been busy pretty much bowling. Onwards.

Bets

image-500x400Houston, we have a problem. I was up 3.3 units the last time I updated. I am now down -10. A 4 unit Giants bet went south and then I put 4 units on the Baltimore Orioles. This left me with an AI 6 unit plunge on Madison Bumgardner and I was rejuvenated. However this was not to last after a 5 unit 49ers bet, followed by a 5 unit San Francisco Giants bet. I had to re-deposit 10 unit back into the account. Current record: NFL – 9-10, +1 unit, CFB 3-5 -2 units, MLB 1-2 -4 units. With the juice It adds up to -10. From the record, please don’t follow my picks, just know what I’m doing and why I’m doing it.

1pm Teaser – 2 units to win 6.5 – I’m adding points to all the teams getting nice point totals and hoping they don’t get blown out. This is the Lions +11, Browns +18, Redskins +11, Titans +10.5, Jets +16. Adding points to the home teams seems pretty obvious to me with the Browns and Lions. The Skins, Jets, and Titans games just feel like they will be close to me.

Vikings -7 – 4 units – I tend follow what happens a bit too closely perhaps but the Vikings defense seems other worldly. They shut down OBJ and Eli looked like a college QB. Take that thought that defense wins games and I’m not worried that much about Bradford and the rest of the shaky offense. Houston looked god awful against the Patriots and have beat some mediocre teams to be 3-1 (Bears, Titans, and the questionable Chiefs). Call me the public on this one.

Rams +2 – 4 units – I love, love, love the Rams defense. I can’t stress that enough because Aaron Donald is the best DL in the league and their secondary is legit. Sure Case Keenum is a goof but Gurley will get back on track. To add that they are getting 2 points at home. Back up the truck.

DraftKings

After a nice DraftKings week last week I set myself up with a little more ammo for this week. I was really big on Steve Smith until these winds started popping up. I also think it’s ludicrous not to have LeVeon Bell in your lineup. I got him in 3 of the 6 but he’s an expensive guy and there are a ton of other possibilities. I’ve targeted OBJ, TY Hilton, and Brandon Marshall as all having big weeks. In the TE spot I think it’s either Zach Ertz or Zach Miller. Vikings, Rams, or Pats D.
dkweek5

Fantasy Football

bd5c1c538a3e2a936940eb16c8a9e065Wild Turkeys – In a must need week against little bro, the Turkeys got a boost start from DJ’s 32 points. Tough decision on Ryan Mathews or Golden Tate but I think I’ll be hoping for a Golden bounce back. Sam is rolling out a lineup that looks like my DK team with OBJ and B Marsh. This one may get close.

Big Johnson’s – Also getting the big game from DJ but I blew it with a John Brown play. I should have realized that without Carson playing, his 14 targets the prior week meant nothing. I’m projected to win but my opponent has an empty roster spot. Let’s see if he fills it in within the next 2+ hours.

shocked-womanJameis Has Crabs – Just a really strong team with Freeman, McCoy, Matthews, Crabtree, Reed, and Jordan Howard. I do not see a loss this week up against a Carson Wentz led team.

6 Oct, 2016

Checking In On Barstool Sports

By |2016-10-28T15:30:14-04:00October 6th, 2016|Sports|1 Comment

The Corporate influence is real at Barstool Sports. Here is an article written by Business Insider about the current workings inside the company.

presclear

Pres and Erika Nardini

It’s one thing to be paid to write an article about Barstool and it’s another to have been following it for years and write about the changes taking place. Here’s what I’ve noticed:

  • myeyess

    A Case of Eye Herpes

    There are more comments in the comment section and they are getting more upvotes – I like to pay attention to what writers get the most comments. Big Pres articles would get over 100. Shitty writers will get around 10. Pres’s recent post about his eye herpes received 118 and the top comment, “The 80 mg of adderal xr everyday can’t be helping” received 379 upvotes. These are huge increases from past months which means the growth from corporate dollars is happening.

  • 12-07-16-1More money leads to more eyeballs –When Portnoy showed his video of watching KFC’s heart get ripped out ala Ralph Wiggum, there were over 240k people watching. That number seems huge to me because it’s only a live feed of “couch” Clancy watching a baseball game.
  • Traffic is Up – In the last 5 years the site has grown from 1.4 million unique readers monthly to 8 million as of January, and was reportedly valued at $10 million to $15 million in the stake sale. I’m curious to see their visitors over the past month. This also means that every monthly viewer is worth .12 cents. Rnningfool.com is worth $360 dollars.
  • Who listens to these Podcasts? There’s Pardon My Take. The Rundown. KFC Radio. Mailtime. I certainly don’t but they seem to be ranking pretty high so people must be. Seems like a waste of time to me.
  • a93afcaf76729cb1One bite. Everyone knows the rules.
  • Outdated Posts – Can they please stop with the Wake Up With, Smokeshow of the day, and Guess that… Worst type of posts which have been played out years and years ago.
  • Too Many Employees – I’ve stopped caring about most of the writers because there are so many of them.
  • Too Much Merch – This is the weirdest piece of merchandise I’ve ever seen.

11

This is 11 from Stranger Things who is probably 12 years old. Their target audience is males between the ages of 18-35. No 18-35 year old should be wearing a shirt with a 12 year old girl. So, so, so creepy.

Finals Thoughts

I still check it often and read what I want. I care less than I did before because other people are caring more. I see people who never knew Barstool existed posting Barstool Sports videos on Facebook and sort of cringe with how fast they are growing and the mainstream mediums they are reaching. I wish the company as much luck as possible but they are the definition of selling out and these types of situations tend to implode due to greed and egos. We’ll wait and see.

5 Oct, 2016

When Did Entertainment Value = 4 Stars?

By |2016-10-05T14:39:53-04:00October 5th, 2016|Movies|1 Comment

The Graders.

The Graders.

When I see that a movie has 4 stars, I’m more apt to watch it than one that got 1 star. I imagine you’re the same way. Unfortunately, the Comcast cable rating system (produced by Rovi, who bought TIVO) has been over run by money. Obviously the studios know that a viewer feels the same way as us, so they pay Rovi to give their movie 4 stars (total guess here). This is a bit misleading and it’s worth looking what movies are getting 4 stars. I’ve viewed these in the past month or so and although I wouldn’t call them bad, they are far more entertaining than quality oriented.

 

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

8.2 IMDB, 92% Rotten Tomatoes

The 7th movie in the series is the 3rd highest grossing film of all-time and is directed by JJ Abrams. Unfortunately this is not reason to be voted a 4 star movie.

I watched this movie and can’t understand how people loved it so much. Here are the reasons why:

  • Did not fight like a badass.

    Did not fight like a badass.

    It was a mere 100 minutes. If they had a lot of good material, it would have been longer.

  • Han and Leia’s son, Kylo Ren, was such a pussy and the actor who played Kylo starred in a movie called Gayby previously.
  • Princess Leia didn’t age that well and was a shitty General.
  • When the Rebellion was attacking the ridiculously named “StarKiller”, some guy said “we’ve lost half our fleet.” They had about 8 ships left so that means they lost 4 planes. I swear there were hundreds of TIE fighters zooming around.
  • You barely knew how to use a blaster.

    You barely knew how to use a blaster.

    How did the guy Fin get so good at using a light saber to fight Kylo Ren in the final scene? He wasn’t even a Jedi?

  • They blew up the StarKiller the same exact way they blew up the Deathstar which had to be an inside joke.
  • It was nice to see Harrison Ford back as Han Solo but that reason is hardly enough for 4 stars.

 

DeadPool

8.1 IMBD, 84% Rotten Tomatoes

We have another winner with the audience and most likely why it got 4 stars. I must be getting old but here are the reasons why I wouldn’t have it be a 4 star movie.

  • 01-ryan-reynolds-deadpooljpg-0d7f98_765wThe storyline, which is the  main reason a movie should be rated 4 stars, was average at best. Guy falls in love, gets terminal cancer (what?), meets a rando in the bar, gets pain treatment, turns into a mutant, shoots the bad guy in the head and gets the girl. That’s really the entire story. Think Schnindler’s List or the Godfather for a 4 star storyline.
  • Deadpool Fuck Scene

    Ryan Reynolds may work out

    The hot fuck scenes don’t make the movie worth watching. Morena Baccarin is sexy as hell and I loved her in Homeland.

  • The fights were flat out bizarre. What’s the point of fighting if no one ever gets hurt? Colossus and the girl with the boob out at the end were only wasting time.
  • How did Deadpool kill the guy at the end? There were probably thousands of bullets flying around that scene at the end
  • TJ Miller was pretty good comedic relief for what that’s worth. It was actually a funny movie with the dialogue but once again, the story makes the movie. I enjoyed how Deadpool talked directly to the audience. The taxi driver side plot was weird.

 

Mad Max: Fury Road

8.1 IMDB, 98% Rotten Tomatoes

4 stars seems a little absurd for this movie unless there is a hidden underlying theme that I’m completely missing. Even still, I love watching the movie at various junctures.

  • mad-max2-800x533The dude playing guitar on the rig is sweet every time I see it.
  • I always found it kind of weird that the war rig rarely gets damaged.
  • Tom Hardy as Max is bad ass because he never has much to say and pretty much steals the show.
  • I’m not a huge Charlize Theron fan but I she didn’t annoy me.
  • I like the movie because I can pick it up at any scene and know I never missed anything. Kind of like Blue Streak. Alas for this reason, it probably wasn’t a stellar movie story wise.

 

The Revenant

8.1 on IMBD. 82% on Rotten Tomatoes

If you would have just died, you would have saved me 2 hours.

If you would have just died, you would have saved me 2 hours.

You’ll have to forgive me for this review as I haven’t even finished the movie. It’s that boring though that it’s taken me 5 tries watching 10 minutes with each go. Leonardo gets hurt and then gets hunted. Or starts to hunt. Who cares? It’s cool to visualize life back then, but boy is this movie slow and stupid. Maybe I’ll update it when I finish it.

 

Final Thoughts

4 stars is flat out misleading. My opinion of a 4 star movie is one that’s in the top 3% of all movies ever produced. The Departed was also 4 stars on Comcast and this is a movie I agree with. It makes you think because it’s deceptive. It’s perfectly acted by at least a dozen characters. It catches you by surprise with the ending and makes you come away thinking, “holy shit”. None of these movies did that for me.

If you want to make movies 5 stars, that would make more sense. Don’t give out a 5 star review unles sit deserves it. Maybe 4 stars aren’t enough because if you look at all of the scores of these movies, they all fall in line with 75% or greater which should be a 4 star movie. Unfortunately this is not the way I believe the rating system should work, and hasn’t worked in the past. Too much manipulation. What do you think?

4 Oct, 2016

ProFootball Focus Intelligence – Week 4

By |2016-10-28T15:30:24-04:00October 4th, 2016|Fantasy|0 Comments

Back again for a second week’s recap of the “pro’s” at Pro Football Focus where we hold the analyst’s responsible for their picks. Read about week 3 results.

Top Contrarian Plays For Week 4 – Scott Barrett

hqdefaultBrock Osweiler – QB16, 15.56 pts
Carson Palmer – QB22, 11.52 pts
Charles Sims – RB57, 2.5 pts
LeSean McCoy – RB8, 19.8 pts
Julio Jones – WR1, 42 pts
Kevin White – WR46, 8.4 pts
Mercedes Lewis – TE36, 1.7 pts
Cameron Brate – TE12, 9.2 pts

The Julio Jones recommendation immediately earns Mr. Barrett high praise. He was owned in 6% of large leagues and dropped a 50 spot on em. Osweiler and Palmer were duds at QB. Sims was a bomb at RB but LeSean earned a passing grade. The rest were all mediocre picks with Mercedes not even on the radar in most people’s minds.

Last Week’s Grade – B+
This Weeks’ Grade – B

 

Bargains of the Week – Brandon Marianne Lee

Brandon Marianne LeeKirk Cousins – QB13, 17.32 pts
Dak Prescott – QB9, 18.10 pts
Trevor Siemian – QB32, 6.72 pts
Mark Ingram – RB9, 19.5 pts
Jordan Howard – RB14, 14.7 pts
Giovani Bernard – RB48, 5.7 pts
Dwayne Washington – RB63, 1.9 pts
Travis Benjamin – WR68, 4.8 pts
Emmanuel Sanders – WR12 18.4 pts
Michael Crabtree – WR2, 30.3 pts
Jamison Crowder – WR81, 3.1 pts
Cole Beasley – WR42, 8.8 pts
Zach Miller – TE10, 10.6 pts
Hunter Henry – TE4, 14.1 pts
Jesse James – TE14, 8.5 pts

She’s all over the place with the amount of “bargains” so it’s tough to grade when you pick 15 players. 5 of them finished in the top 10 in their position which is obviously what you are looking for in this type of list. 4 were within the top 20 which means over 50% of the picks were good. 6 were awful recommendations.

Last Week’s Grade – D+
This Week’s Grade – C+

 

Fades of the Week by Tyler Loechner

Tyler Loechner

Tyler Loechner

Carson Palmer – QB22, 11.52 pts
Matt Forte – RB41, 5.3 pts
Latavius Murray – RB47, 3.4 pts
Alshon Jeffrey – WR61, 6.1 pts
Brandon Marshall – WR14, 16.9 pts
Delanie Walker – TE23, 4.4 pts

What we’ll learn about Tyler is he’s much better at picking players who will do bad, than who do good. Great calls on Palmer, Forte, Murray, Jeffrey, and Delanie. A shade off on B Marsh but this is quality advice.

Last Week’s Grade – B-
This Week’s Grade – A-

 

Locks of the Week by Mike Tagliere

gl7e4a-mKirk Cousins – QB13, 17.32 pts
Matthew Stafford – QB29, 8.22 pts
Melvin Gordon – RB4, 20.9 pts
Amari Cooper – WR53, 7.3 pts
Dennis Pitta – TE26, 3.2 pts

Melvin Gordon was the only “lock” (with Cousins being decent) and half the other analysts had him as well. The other “locks” were poor suggestions. I will not be using his advice until his picks sharpen up.

This Weeks Grade – D

(I gave him a C- last week on “Top Streaming Options)

Fanduel Lineup Advice: The Best Plays of Week 4 – Patrick Thorman

hqdefault-1Ben Roethlisberger – QB2, 33.9pts
Carson Palmer – QB22, 11.52pts
Lamar Miller – RB20, 12.3pts
LeGarrette Blount – RB36, 7.3pts
Mark Ingram – RB9, 19.5 pts
Duke Johnson – RB31, 8.6pts
Alshon Jeffrey – WR61, 6.1pts
Doug Baldwin – WR51, 7.4pts
DeSean Jackson – WR106, 1pt
Michael Crabtree – WR2, 30.3pts
Travis Kelce – TE8, 10.8pts
Hunter Henry – TE4, 14.1 pts

Lots of poor advice here. If you aren’t hitting guys in the top 15, you aren’t going to win DFS. Big Ben, Mark Ingram, Crabtree, and Hunter Henry were the nice choices. If you played anyone else, there’s a good chance you weren’t going to win your league. Pat Thorman is not on solid footing with his selections in my book.

Last Weeks Grade – C
This Week’s Grade – C-

 

Week 4 Sleeper Candidates – Tyler Loechner

Steve Smith – WR6, 21.1pts
Amari Cooper – WR53, 7.3pts
Demaryius Thomas – WR11, 18.8pts
Emmanuel Sanders – WR12, 18.4 pts
DeMarco Murray – RB1, 24.9 pts
Jamaal Charles or Spencer Ware – RB33, 8.1pts
Dwayne Washington – RB63, 1.9pts
Greg Olsen – TE2, 18.6pts
Jason Witten – TE15, 8.2pts
C.J Uzomah – TE20, 6.5 pts

Notice that his sleepers are better than his actual picks. Steve Smith was primo. Both Bronco’s WR’s performed. Demarco was the #1 RB and Olsen the #2 TE. Lots of misses on Cooper this week. Dwayne Washington was a bust all over. Witten an Uzomah really weren’t going to be used any way you look at it.

This Week’s Grade – A

 

Week 4 Start Sit Advice – Dan Schneier

Dan SchneierBest Matchups
Philip Rivers – QB9, 18.84 pts
Ezekiel Elliot – RB2, 22.2 pts
DeAndre Hopkins – WR108, .9pts

Start Them
Brian Hoyer – QB7, 19.78 pts
Jordan Howard – RB14, 14.7 pts
Philip Dorsett – WR19, 13.2 pts

Sit Them
Jameis Winston – QB24, 11.06 pts
Latavius Murray – RB47, 3.4 pts
Tavon Austin – WR71, 1.8 pts

Missing on DeAndre Hopkins likely cost you any DFS shot but he hit 8 of his other 9 recommendations which is worth something. 2 weeks in a row will keep him on my radar.

Last Week’s Grade – B
This Week’s Grade – B+

 

Evan Silva Quotes

Evan SilvaMiller’s relatively slow start makes him an attractive DFS tournament play because it will lower the ownership of a big-play runner locked into monster usage. (RB20)

Big Ben makes for an excellent DFS tournament play. (QB2)

Crabtree leads Oakland in catches (19) and is cash-game viable in DFS this week (WR2)

Julio, of course, should still be fired up confidently. (WR1)

In DFS tournaments, Jackson will be the lowest-owned Redskins pass catcher this week and arguably offers the highest ceiling as Browns top corner Joe Haden continues to battle a groin injury (WR106)

 

DFS Lineup Advice

Week 4 Optimal Fanduel Lineup – Brandon Marianne Lee
Kirk Cousins – QB13, 17.32 pts
Melvin Gordon – RB4, 20.9 pts
Jordan Howard – RB14, 14.7 pts
Antonio Brown – WR8, 20.4 pts
Julio Jones – WR1, 42 pts
Jamison Crowder – WR81, 3.1 pts
Hunter Henry – TE4, 14.1 pts
Chris Boswell – K21, 5 pts
Panthers – D14, 7pts

Total 144.52 (B+ Grade)

Week 4 Optimal Draftkings Lineup – Tyler Loechner
Kirk Cousins – QB13, 17.32 pts
Le’Veon Bell – RB6, 20.3 pts
Melvin Gordon – RB4, 20.9 pts
DeAndre Hopkins – WR108, .9pts
Marvin Jones – WR37 9.9pts
Jamison Crowder – WR81, 3.1 pts
Hunter Henry – TE4, 14.1 pts
Adam Humphries – WR107, .9pts
Broncos – D3, 15pts

Total – 102.42 (D- Grade)

 

Final Thoughts

I had a great week in DK with the combination of advice from the analysts and Evan Silva. I know this will sound arrogant but I tended to go with my gut a little bit more this week instead of blindly following the recommendations. We’ll go again next week with a little better bankroll.

4 Oct, 2016

Ben Simmons Won’t Be Playing This Year

By |2016-10-04T09:26:25-04:00October 4th, 2016|Sports|0 Comments

The Sixers pre-season opens tonight against the Boston Celtics and this is not what you want to read about your first round pick.

He left the very first pre-season game with cramps.

He left the very first pre-season game with cramps.

Bob Cooney of the Philadelphia Daily News on 97.5 The Fanatic:

I just got off the phone with somebody who I really trust in the NBA, and he’s like there’s no way his agent is going to let him play this year. That’s an injury that you don’t mess around with, and he thinks he’s going to keep him off his feet all year.

 

 

76ers Outlook

may1816-embiid-slideFor the 4th straight year the 76ers will be awful. The O/U going into this year was 27 games and that was expecting Ben Simmons to play. Are we down below 20 this year?

The team with 3 first round pick centers? The team with a starting PG, Jerryd Bayless, who will be on his 7th NBA team in 8 years? The team with Dario Saric who averaged 11.7 ppg in a Euro league while shooting 50% from the field against inferior competition? The team where Nik Stauskus and TJ McConnel routinely get minutes?

Moving into year 4 of the tank and this team is still a dumpster fire. I’ve heard the supporters and even they have to be getting nervous at this point with the latest Ben Simmons injury and talk that he would have rather went to LA.

nowitzi-saricI understand what the Sixers plan was and their hopes that high draft picks would save the franchise. It’s still in the wait and see mode. My main question is how many years do we wait and see before the “process trusters” are going to be waiting a decade and then saying, “see, I told you so, they finally made the playoffs.”

I truly don’t want to be a Sixers hater. I’d like to think I’m not on the band wagon but I’m not a disgusted fan either. I look at the situation as a fan of basketball and write how I see it unfolding. At this point, unless Embiid is a 20/15 guy who can take over games single handed, I guess we’ll be waiting until next year when Ben Simmons decides to, maybe, play for the Sixers.

3 Oct, 2016

Football Week 4 – Recap

By |2016-10-03T11:37:32-04:00October 3rd, 2016|Sports|0 Comments

The pictures are unable to write to the disk so I’m hoping this problem fixes itself. Until then, there will be no pictures.

Bets

lindsey-duke-hotI can’t really explain it but I didn’t make a single bet this weekend on Saturday or Sunday. I bet 1.8 units on Washington on Friday night which hit. I was going to bet on Clemson because the Shee told me to on Saturday and just never got around to it. Then on Sunday I woke up at 9:38 which was after my Jags pick and then at a family function which took me past the start of the 1pm games. By the 4pm games I was pretty drunk and didn’t / couldn’t place a bet. As such, I stay at 9-8, +11 units for NFL and 3-5, -2 units for CFB. +3.3 units with the juice.

Draftkings

stevesmith1This was one of those weeks where I wish I had more money in Draftkings. I only entered 4 lineups but they all cashed and I was pretty hot with all my players. My most impressive lineup scored 213.52 pts and would have placed in 142 place out of 256,000 for a $600 cash if it was in the Sunday Million. Instead I had it in a $20, 5 person tourney where I raped Condia. I also placed 582 out of  64k in the $9 Slant which was a 6x cash. This week put me in the black after 4 weeks of the season at +29 dollars after being down 80. Hopefully this will boost my credibility and I can keep the train rolling into next week as I begin to enter more lineups.

Fantasy Football

Wild Turkey’s – The Turkeys can’t catch a break. This is how fantasy football plays out sometimes but I went up a team who rocked me with 142 and my 110 projection isn’t going to get it done. I have a team problem with Willie Snead being hurt, and Alshon and Golden Tate just flat out sucking.  Sitting at 1-3 is not a good look but I’m hoping the luck will turn around.

Big Johnson’s – The Big Johnson’s got a cake match-up with the other team putting up 57 pts. I only needed 95 the team was pretty solid all around to move to 3-1.

Jameis Has Crabs – Acting as the most dominant team in the league for another straight week has me at 3-1.  Benching Forte for Jordan Howard this week is what good GM’s are made of.

 

Eliminator & PigSkin Pickem

For the 2nd straight year I was eliminated with an Arizona Cardinals pick against the St. Louis Rams. Same exact week, same exact results as last year.

I went 7-7 ATS this week which has me holding on to a 1 point lead over 2nd place. I managed to pick 10 correct in the Softerware Pickem where I am now in 2nd place and 3 behind the leader.

30 Sep, 2016

Football Week 4

By |2016-09-30T20:09:16-04:00September 30th, 2016|Sports|1 Comment

Bets

After a rough last week I started off this one nicely with a 4 unit win with the Bengals. I am now 9-8, +11 units on the NFL. Still 2-5, -3.5 units in CFB. Up 1.8 units total with the juice. Bankroll is a bit limited after last week so we have to scale back a bit and see how it plays out.

LIndsay was bad luck last week but I think we'll do better this one.

LIndsay was bad luck last week but I think we’ll do better this one.

Jags +3, 3 units – This isn’t a home game for the Jaguars as it is being played in London which is a bit odd on the website. I’ve seen both sides picked by “experts”, and I’m leaning towards the Colts here. So why pick the Jags? Because any idiot who sees this game has to think the Colts will dominate the 0-3 Jaguars. The Colts got away with a squeaker last week and the Jags played the Ravens tough. I didn’t see either game  but this is a 9:30 AM game and act like I’m not going to bet on it.

49ers +3, 3 units – Sam made mention of this game to me and said Colin Cowherd pointed it out as an obvious public play (as in everyone will be on America’s team). These are generally sure things. I’ve come to know that when you think it’s too easy, it usually is.

DraftKings

-$80 for the season is certainly not where I want to play from but I can’t feel down about it. As Gourlay says, you gotta keep gambling until you win it all back. This week I don’t want to miss out on the Steelers home action. I think there are a lot of undervalued plays. I may go with Terrell Pryor in every lineup once the day starts. You can’t not play a guy who plays every position, and well at that. Everyone is on Melvin Gordon which frightens me a little. Hunter Henry and Zach Miller seem like the best value plays. Blount and Jordon Howard are also too cheap to pass up on.
leveon

 

Fantasy Football

timbradyWild Turkey’s – Starting in the hole for the 3rd consecutive week after Thursday night football sucks. First it was Decker, then Blount, now Green and Nugent. Another uphill climb being projected to lose by 17 before the Sunday games even start. I’m pretty pleased with my team with Jeffrey, Snead, DJ, McCoy, Olsen, and a choice between Steve Smith or Golden Tate. My special teams plays of Tucker and Vikiings are fire as well. I’m up against Yeldon, Floyd and Julius Thomas so I have no clue how I’m projected to lose by so many. Against Brees as Q which I don’t love.

Big Johnson’s – Projected to win by 6 after TNF and I see a W in the future. Maclin, DJ, Freeman, Reed, and Snead should be enough fire power with no horrible matchups. I have to fade OBJ and Forte who both have tough matchups. Brees away should also help.

screen-shot-2013-10-17-at-10-06-33-amJameis Has Crabs – I was mulling over trading Forte for B Marsh or packaging for Dez and another player and decided not to pull the trigger. I’m going to play Jameis over Eli which may be nuts against Denver, but Eli is no cake walk against the Vikings. Jameis will be forced to throw which I like. I’ll be playing Jordan Howard over Matt Forte who gets a tough match against Seattle. Freeman, McCoy, Crabtree, Shepard, and Reed make up the remainder of the roster. I’m up against LeVeon and Gordon which is unfortunate.

Eliminator

I’ll be playing the Cardinals this week. Home game against the oddball Rams who I know are a tough team to play. I don’t see the Cardinals going 1-3 so I’ll cross my fingers.

29 Sep, 2016

Bowling Bugaboos

By |2016-09-29T13:36:20-04:00September 29th, 2016|Sports|0 Comments

pocket-vs-strikeThe Jersey Strike – I imagine most people don’t think much of a Jersey strike. All the pins went down and a ten gets marked on the board. Next frame, right? Not exactly. There is a reason why you have to have a sheepish reaction if you throw a Jersey strike and it’s because you threw a bad ball and the result was good. The detailed reason of why this is the case is because a Jersey is actually a REALLY bad ball. The goal of bowling is to hit the pocket with every throw. You may miss the pocket but when you start elevating to higher levels, it shouldn’t be by much. Minor misses of the pocket right result in weak pin action and misses left result in splits. But Jersey shots are so far left that they move past the split results and into the strike result. This is why next time you throw a Jersey strike, count your blessing that they all went down but don’t be surprised when the other players shake their head.

Watch Pete Weber get pissed off at Belmonte’s Jersey strike

bowlingPre-Bowling – I feel strongly against pre-bowling because it’s not the same bowling as in a league and shouldn’t be counted as such. It’s not the same atmosphere. Not the same oil conditions. No pressure. PLUS you can cheat if you want to by simply not reporting it. If you can’t play, and you can’t find a sub, you should lose 10% of your score. Simple as that. I could technically go to the lanes for 6 days in a row and give them my best score. It’s flat out wrong.

A few snippets from Archives:
I really hate unopposed bowling. To me the main point of league bowling is to have some friendly competition. To have one team bowl either before or after the regular league time and not face their opponent robs the game of much of its appeal.

zbctf5My main problem is that pre-bowling can very easily turn into a lottery ticket of what condition the pre-bowling team gets to bowl on. If the center does not regulate the pre-bowl you can get a multitude of conditions to bowl on. In my limited pre-bowling experience I have seen both sides of this; I have had a session that I got stuck with heavy carrydown and the entire mess that follows a group of people all using house balls (a shot that ended up being much more difficult than a typical house shot) and shot terrible, but on the other end I have also seen a shot that I felt I had the most obscene wall to bump my shot off of (and pretty much knew we were sweeping that week).

funny-gifs-bowling-failNot Next, but 2 Next – Everyone who has bowled before knows you don’t bowl when someone is bowling next to you. This is common courtesy. What I’ve found though is that I don’t like going when someone is 2 down from me as well. I can see them out of the corner of my eye and start thinking about them and it messes up my whole release. Plus I’ve had people dart into my vision because my approach is a little slower. It’s not an aspect that is difficult to control either, it only requires a little patience.

28 Sep, 2016

The Power of a Comment

By |2016-09-28T18:06:24-04:00September 28th, 2016|My Life|0 Comments

I received this comment the other night:

2016-07-18-stranger-things02Hey Tom,
 I watched Stranger Things based on your review in your blog.  I enjoyed it. I thought El’s character was mesmerizing, and liked the entire cast overall.  I already liked the idea of parallel universes going into it too, so that was cool.  Just thought you might like to get some good feedback on one of your posts from a while back.  Thanks for the recommendation

 

I enjoy receiving comments like this. This blog has been around since April ’09 and I’ve had various intentions over the years. To start, the blog was to my immediate friends. Then I intentionally started creating posts that I thought would do well from a traffic standpoint. Next I made an effort to actively get anyone and everyone reading the blog to comment. Now I don’t give a shit who comments and I’ll write for me. I always welcome comments but I’ve stop pandering to an audience because it’s not worth it.  However, when someone recognizes the quality of what I’m posting, that’s the sole purpose of what I’m going for.

blogtraffic

Rnningfool Blog Traffic

Do I publish shitty posts? Of course. I recognize that most of you don’t care about my bowling league. I know that you probably don’t care what place I’m in my Fantasy Football league. I don’t expect people to comment on these types of posts. This is why my blog is my blog.

Do you know many people maintain personal websites? I’d guess less than 1% of the population. There’s no money in it. It’s a lot of work. Hardly anyone recognizes the work and there’s not a lot of reason to do it. I’ll continue to post about anything and everything and if once in a blue moon you decide to let me know that you liked what I wrote, that’ll keep me doing it. Thanks.

 

27 Sep, 2016

ProFootballFocus Intelligence

By |2016-09-27T23:22:51-04:00September 27th, 2016|Sports|3 Comments

I am well aware predicting sporting outcomes is, well, unpredictable. However, people are getting paid to do so and are charging peons like myself for this information. Let’s take a look and start putting some of the info to results. I’m using my Yahoo points which are .5pts ppr for rankings. These are all article suggestions from ProFootballFocus which is a paid subscription.

 

Fantasy Players to Avoid in Week 3 – Tyler Loechner

Tyler Loechner

Tyler Loechner

Kirk Cousins – QB9, 19.3 pts
LeSean McCoy – RB3, 25.1 pts
Jeremy Langford – RB48, 6.1 pts
O’Dell Beckham – WR17 – 15.6 pts
AJ Green – WR25 – 11.7 pts
Antonio Gates – DNP
Julius Thomas – TE36- 2.3 pts

I’d give positive credit to any guy outside of the top 20 like Langford, Thomas and Green (very good pick). Cousins and McCoy were way off and OBJ is ranked slightly above even considering he is so expensive.

Grade: B-

 

Top Contrarian Plays – Scott Barrett

hqdefaultAaron Rodgers – QB3, 26.4 pts
Dak Prescott – QB6, 23.5 pts
Christine Michael – RB6, 24.1 pts
Chris Thompson – RB65, 2.8 pts
Jeremy Maclin – WR59, 5.5 pts
Quincy Enunwa – WR57, 5.7 pts
Travis Kelce  – TE4, 17.9 pts
Tyler Kroft – 0 pts

Great selections in Rodgers, Prescott, Michael, and Kelce. Complete whiffs on the others. I understand they are contrarian, and supposed to be low owned which throws a wrinkle, but half of these selections are not getting 2x the cost of the player which is a not good.  4 top notch picks and 4 complete whiffs.

Grade: B+

 

Top Streaming Options – Michael Tagliere

gl7e4a-mRyan Tannehill – QB10, 18.96 pts
Dak Prescott – QB6, 25.52 pts
Jay Ajayi – RB28, 8.8 pts
Cameron Artis Payne – RB40, 6.3 pts
Philip Dorsett – WR72, 4.2 pts
Markus Wheaton – WR111, .7 pts
Clive Walford – TE23, 2.6 pts

Not bad QB selections with guys off the waiver wire but pretty universal selections. Everyone else was not worth playing this week in a pinch. Obviously expectations need to be tempered but these are swings and misses

Grade: C-

 

Top DFS Bargains – Brandon Marianne Lee

75fed22470e4325f846e6fd2c3ecd713_400x400Marcus Mariotta – QB29, 4.7 pts
Dak Prescott – QB6, 25.5 pts
Jay Ajayi – RB28, 8.8 pts
Theo Riddick – RB30, 8.3 pts
Charles Sims – RB11, 21.4 pts
Stefon Diggs – WR54, 6 pts
Quincy Enunwa – WR57, 5.7 pts
Mike Wallace – WR60, 5.4 pts
Dennis Pitta – TE18, 7.2 pts
Trey Burton – TE28, 2.9 pts

Bargains are players who are not highly priced in DFS. If an average bargain salary is 5k, you’d expect 10 points from the player and only 2 of the recommendations did that (Riddick maybe have been close). Prescott and Sims were excellent selections but everyone else would be below expectation.

Grade: D+

 

The Best Plays of Week 3 – Patrick Thorman

hqdefault-1Russell Wilson – QB14, 14,0 pts
Ryan Tannehill – QB10, 18.9 pts
Ezekiel Elliot – RB14, 17 pts
CJ Anderson – RB49, 4.6 pts
Mark Ingram – RB12, 20.7 pts
Frank Gore – RB16, 14.8 pts
Jordy Nelson – WR6, 25.1 pts
Sterling Shepard – WR15, 15.8 pts
Stefon Diggs – WR54, 6 pts
Devonte Parker – WR21, 12.6 pts
Jordan Reed – TE16, 7.6 pts
Trey Burton – TE28, 2.9 pts

You are calling the column the top plays of Week 3. This means you can choose from the entire roster of players and he came up with 1 player in the top 10 after selecting 12 players. He managed 7 in the top 20. 4 outside of that. It’s not atrocious but this doesn’t pay the bills.

Grade: C

 

Optimal DFS Lineup: Trust Dennis Pitta in DK – Tyler Loechner

Andrew Luck – QB17, 13.24 pts
Melvin Gordon – RB15. 15.8 pts
Theo Riddick  – RB30, 8.3 pts
Antonio Brown – WR10, 20 pts
Amari Cooper  -WR43, 8.2 pts
Tajae Sharpe – WR52, 6.3 pts
Dennis Pitta – TE18, 7.2 pts
Cole Beasley – WR26, 10.8 pts
Miami Defense – D19, 7 pts

This line up would have scored 96.84 points in a .5 PPR. A full point may be 20 or so higher. 120 is the opposite of optimal. I put together 3 lineups that scored over 130 and cashed 0 times. AB is the only good pick of the entire bunch and he’s the most expensive player there is in the league.

Grade: D-

 

 

Week 3 Start Sit Advice – Dan Schneier

gwu2p4auBest Matchups

Drew Brees – QB4, 25.9 pts
Melvin Gordon – RB15, 15.8 pts
T.Y Hilton – WR4, 27.4 pts

Start Them

Eli Manning – QB15, 14 pts
Eddie Lacy – RB22, 11 pts
Devante Parker – WR21, 12.6 pts

Sit Them

Kirk Cousins – QB9, 19.34 pts
Justin Forsett – RB42, 6.3 pts
DeSean Jackson – WR12, 18.1 pts

An article written 6 days before the games were actually played produced the best information. He was a bit off with the Cousins to DeSean combo but all else was at least serviceable. Sure you’d want a little more from Eli and Lacy in that spot but at least they weren’t doughnuts. Brees, Gordon, and T.Y would pay the bills.

Grade: B

 

Evan Silva Quotes

promo264991368I really like Evan Silva’s matchups because he dissects so much information, in such a short time, on a week to week basis, that I give him a TON of credit for making the predictions as well as he does. Considering I’m using him for a lot of my picks in the PigSkin Pick Em and am leading after 3 weeks, I’m hardly complaining but this shows that even Evan misses the mark.

“As a road-dog running back in a seemingly sub-par matchup, (DeMarco) Murray is mid-range to low-end RB2 in Nashville and all but off the board in DFS.” RB7

“(Dwayne) Allen is my favorite DFS tight end play of the week” TE19

“(Amari) Cooper showed incredible open-field speed on the play and looks ready to explode. He is probably my favorite DFS play in Week 3.” WR43

“Demaryius is a low-upside WR2/3 at Cincinnati. Sanders is a WR3” WR13 and WR2

“The Lions are moving top corner Darius Slay around the formation this year, which suggests he will spend much of this game chasing Nelson. Although Nelson has hit pay dirt in back-to-back games, he has struggled to separate coming off an ACL tear at age 31. He is a mid-range to low-end WR2 until proven otherwise.” WR6

“Gurley can only be viewed as a low-floor RB2”. RB13

 

Final Thoughts

Perhaps my expectations are a bit high but it almost feels like the site is either holding their good info or they are aren’t that good. I’m well aware that you couldn’t have put Christine Michael in any of these articles until Sunday morning. Vereen wasn’t a play until then as well. I suppose I feel like the intel should be better. 3 weeks have gone by and there’s nothing here where I’ve said to myself, “I can’t get this info from anywhere else”. Brad Evans from Yahoo! gives out free advice all the time and I can’t imagine he’d be any worse than these guys. Matthew Berry the same way. I’ll keep week 4 posted as another week passes by.

I want to point out that I only found one evidence of anyone even recommending Marvin Jones on the entire site and it was found in a hard to read optimal lineup by Brandon Marianne Lee. I used DK so she would have had 154.4 plus a flex spot instead of the kicker which is solid and that’s assuming the salaries work which I have no clue.

one-lineup

 

 

Categories