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20 Sep, 2017

FAAB Action

By | 2017-09-20T08:48:08+00:00 September 20th, 2017|Fantasy|1 Comment

Without a doubt, utilizing your free auction dollars in fantasy football can be an edge. I’ll add too that if the league is still using rolling waivers, it’s an inferior way of justice towards who gets the player. Let’s look at a few bids by people in my leagues this week and i’ll throw around my opinion because I can.

Evan’s League

  • Chris Thompson was won by a bid of $15, while Sam and I bid $5. This back field is unclear with Rob Kelley being bad and Thompson producing. $15 seems like a reasonable price to pay for a position that seems exceptionally hard to fill these days.
  • I bid $8 on JJ Nelson and Evan bid $4. This is where Evan’s bid of $56 for Tarik Cohen leaves him out of the running. If John Brown continues to ail, and there’s no reason to think otherwise, I like JJ’s potential. I also have no idea how no one else in the league thought of putting in a bid for a guy who just went for 120 and 2. If I really thought a defense had a PREMIUM matchup, I may bid $6. However, there is no reason to think that Eli can’t burn the Eagles.

  • Alex bid $6 for the Eagles D and Evan bid $2. Streaming defenses is a good strategy, but spending this much on the Eagles doesn’t make much sense.
  • Jason Witten for $14 and…. there was 1 bid for 0. Overpaid for a TE where you can find a streamer option every week.

Alex’s League

  • A player not only dropped Chris Hogan, but they won a bid for JJ Nelson for $25. Sheesh on all fronts.
  • This same player spend $25 for Jermaine Kearse and the next bid was $5. Sheesh.
  • Jason Witten went for $22. Ed Dickson will replace Olsen and could have been gotten as an FA. Witten will regress.
  • The Eagles and the Falcons D’s were picked up for $14 and $10 respectively. I don’t get it but the same player who bid $6 in the other league, bid $14 here. Confusing.
  • Marlon Mack was also released, who after spending the day with Bud (who has way more knowledge on upcoming player than any normal human should), will be bid on by me.

Steve’s League

  • This is an old waiver system but I was in the 3 spot and got Chris Carson. Shout out to Adam for having him the week before in Evan’s league.
19 Sep, 2017

When the Premium Pops

By | 2017-09-19T18:07:25+00:00 September 19th, 2017|My Brain|0 Comments

With Jeff and I running the business, it would be damaging if one of us were to get into an accident. This being a major concern to my father, he wanted me to get life insurance. I had no problem with this.

I went online and typed in “life insurance” and went with the cheapest option from a name I recognized, State Farm. You fill out an application and they sell you on the cheapest policy based on the way you answer questions. They have someone call you and ask a few more questions and set up a physical. I took the physical 2 weeks ago and had high blood pressure on the 3 readings. 160 over 100. I was coming down with the flu but I’m not sure that had any effect on my blood pressure. It doesn’t really matter as I got a call from the agent saying he wanted to meet. I didn’t see any reason why he couldn’t send the documents electronically and me e-sign them so I had a sneaking suspicion something was bad on the blood work.

He let me know that the policy had changed (codename for increased premium) and he wanted me to come in after I resisted a second time. I went today to Lancaster Ave where I was the only white person on the block and was wondering how well life insurance policies sell around this area. I told the agent that I didn’t have a lot of time and to cut to the chase. He had a sealed envelope with my physical results that he didn’t seem anxious to let me see. He told me I was a level 6 (out of 40) and my premium was going to be $1,500 when it was originally quoted at $300. I said, “enough’s enough, let me see the results.” I scan through them and all is perfectly fine (I tested negative for cocaine and Aids) but had high blood pressure as I already knew. At this point I was pretty pissed off because he made me come into the jungle to tell me that all I needed to do was have the doctor re-test my blood pressure. Then he starts asking me about my car insurance, home insurance, and business insurance like a typical insurance scum bag. I know he’s just doing his job but this was his main reason for having me come in. I left telling him that he had about a 0% chance of getting any business from me and now I know I’m going to have to deal with his follow ups. This went hand in hand with some FedEx rep looking to set up a meeting with 3 people. 3 people! I’m thinking that I know she’s love to spend her days traveling around and shaking hands, but I’ve got better things to do. Sales people know other sales people.

17 Sep, 2017

Bovada’s “Reward” System

By | 2017-09-17T09:32:18+00:00 September 17th, 2017|My Brain|0 Comments

Adelaide Bird

I had $100 bucks on Gennady Golovkin last night, that if it wasn’t for a scumbag judge named Adelaide Bird, I would be the proud owner of $62.50. The 3 judges scorecards were 113-115 GGG, 114-114 Draw, 118-110 Alvarez. The first decision was a close one for GGG, the next an even fight, and the final is a wildly outrageous, decisive winner for Alvarez. 2 judges see close fights and the other a blowout. My best guess is that a mobster / promoter put a gun to her head and said Alvarez is winning. Why you wouldn’t make it less obvious would sort of defeat my thinking, but that’s possibly why it looked this way. I fully expected to lose the $100 the same way you would in soccer, but turns out it was a PUSH. I got my $100 back and was ready to put it to some NFL action.

While I was looking around my Bovada account, I noticed I had $16 of rewards to claim.

I redeemed the $16 dollars which didn’t go to my money account, but to the bonus funds that currently says $150 (it moved to $166). The bonus details had their own page on how to clear it with its own progress bar. Notice the “Total Balance” is $248, which in reality is $98 REAL money in there. I can’t tell you how fucked up it is that it says $248 when you start to understand how hard it is to get the $150. This actually tilts me because when I’m betting a game with $100 in the account, it makes me think I have $250, and I will spend more than I should.

Back to clearing the bonus. This is the table that shows how much % of each spin goes to the bonus.

Best way to get the bonus is to play slots. I started off in Caesars Empire where I was playing $.20 spins. I won a big 60x ($12.00) early on which made me feel a little more risky. I checked the progress bar and saw I was only 3% there. $.20 wasn’t going to get it done. I moved up to $.40 and hit another $12 spin. Things were flying as I got to 45% on the progress bar with my bonus dollars around $35.

I moved over to Cleo’s s Room which offered “Mature Content” (there was none), and started playing $1 spins. I hit early and had over $60 bonus dollars with 83% of the bonus progress bar. I would have liked to cash out, but I had to keep playing because there was literally no other choice if I wanted those bonus dollars to turn into withdrawable dollars. As the payout was getting close, I lost about 30 spins in a row as the progress bar and my bonus money started evening out. On the final spin the machine started going real slow and took 5x longer than usual as I lost my final spin. At the close of the session, I earned $2.33 bonus dollars.

Clearing a Bonus

There is a “welcome” bonus for the $150 which can be seen in the picture above. In order to clear that $150, you have to use your own money to clear it the same way I cleared the $16. What I just did to make $2.33, you have to 9.9x that. It’s a miracle that I cleared that $16 without going into my own money. Think about that, they gave me $16, and it would be possible for that bonus to say $0, while the progress bar wasn’t finished. Almost has to be rigged.

That $150 is a different story. It won’t go up or down. Using your own money, you have to get that progress bar to 100%. How smart is this? The question is how much money are you going to have to spend to clear it. Remember this is gambling. You can use $100 and go up $500 and play with house money to clear the bonus sort of like my experience. OR, you could quickly lose $100 and have to keep playing to get that $150. It could cost you $1000, which is my intuitive guess. Now you could counter with you have a chance to hit it big with that $150 and at the end you get it back anyway. That is the risk you take but Bovada isn’t billion dollar company because everyone wins.

16 Sep, 2017

Clay Travis, JeSmelly Hill, and Brooke Who?

By | 2017-09-16T19:00:40+00:00 September 16th, 2017|Sports|0 Comments

Clay Travis is the infamous sports commentator who got into an argument with El Pres from Barstool and used Sam Stortz as a reference point for the 6, 12, 18, 24 challenge. You have no idea how hard it was to find this. LOL at “a true hero”.

With that little side story behind us, Clay Travis said he likes boobs and some hot woman named Brooke Baldwin lost her shit. Was it inappropriate? I have to say yes. Why you’d say that on CNN is dumb because it’s not appealing to the cuck audience. Gotta know your audience. At least I know who Brooke Baldwin is now.

I hate Jemele Hill. Out of all the commentators, and I dislike a lot, she’s my #1 least liked. The guy who talks after Clay sums up exactly why I don’t like her. He’s like, “after all she’s been through to get to where she is now…” She fucking sucks. I’m sorry but I’d rather watch a cactus report on what happens in sports. I hated her before she said Trump was a white supremacist. I’d guess I’ve asked Sam 5 times if he likes her just so I can give my opinion that I hate her. I don’t even watch her but I just know. I can’t explain it, I just know. It’s not that she’s black. Sage Steele is wonderfully talented and nails her job. Jemele is a bobble head. You could say, “you have to give her a chance.” No I don’t. She’s an idiot and ESPN should fire her. I wouldn’t be surprised if she knew this tweet would garner attention because her career is sinking exactly like Clay said. I’d rather watch paint dry than get my info from her.

Here’s a person who must have fallen asleep to her show:
The SC6 branded show is not a good one, in part because you have two co-hosts who both are more serious and overly sincere than they are charismatic or quick with the snark. You don’t have the classic goofy/straight pairing, and they lack the tension of two co-hosts who disagree constantly. Neither is a particularly good interviewer, nor have they shown the ability to offer insight on sports that is deep, funny, or entertaining. The show is reduced to two fairly boring people sitting at a cramped table full of papers and laptops on a set that looks unchanged for the past twenty years talking about sports with less insight than a pair at the end of the neighborhood bar. Television is a visual medium, and visually, SC6 looks like local TV.

16 Sep, 2017

What’s Going On?

By | 2017-09-16T08:57:38+00:00 September 16th, 2017|My Life|1 Comment

What’s Going On?

Title sung in the voice by the singer of the 4 Non Blondes. Actually better not to know what she looks like.

I’ve added another responsibility to my life which will push the posting of this blog back further on the priority list. I looked back at post counts and in years past I would hit 30+ a month. I’m lucky to hit the mid 20’s anymore. It’s because I don’t post as much garbage, but it’s also because my time is not nearly as ample.

I was voted the President of our bowling league in a weird circumstance last Monday night. There was a captain’s meeting and the question was posed “does anyone nominate anyone for President?” One guy, who I’d say I’m “friends” with, selected me. We’ve had some conversations before about some parts of the league that I would handle differently and he must have taken these conversations to heart. As such, the team captains elected me the new President over the old one. As President, my league responsibilities are minimal but that’s not the kind of person I am. I’ve decided to create a website for the league, I’d like to get some sponsorship money, and then have people who don’t own a bowling ball get a discount for buying one. These activities don’t actually take too much of my time but it’s another task to add to my list.

I also purchased a new camera which I’m not exactly sure how I’m going to use, but filming will be another useful skill. It’s somewhat amazing how blogging has essentially become my life. What started as a hobby is essentially “website building” and it is an effective means of disseminating information. Who would have guessed. I guess I would have accidentally. So with all that going on I’m doing my best to keep this website going strong but I’m being pulled in a lot of different directions with work which is not worth even getting into on this post. All I’ll write is that we’ve been doing a lot of business and it’s hard to keep up as is. I’ll expand in subsequent posts but not right now.

16 Sep, 2017

Being Wrong On Thursday Night

By | 2017-09-16T08:40:53+00:00 September 16th, 2017|Fantasy|0 Comments

I was going to write this post yesterday but didn’t have the time which makes the timing of this release poor.

I missed Thursday night’s game by choosing the Bengals. They were giving 6 points at home and covered for exactly 0 minutes of the game. I’m in 2 pick em’s and obviously missed them both. The game was atrocious by the way. Almost unwatchable. After suffering through 3 and half quarters, I was waiting for Andy Dalton to bring the action at the end and it never came. Punt after punt. Horrible football. I have had a weird Andy Dalton feeling throughout his career, at first I thought he was garbage, then I thought he was underrated, now he’s garbage again. I have this same career arc with Flacco.

What I want to touch on this post is getting the Thursday night game wrong is the absolute worst. It sets up the weekend in a bad light when I miss. This game was the epitome of too easy. The Texans are trotting out a rookie and the Bengals are at home after an embarrassing shut out. Perfect time to rise to the occasion and make a statement. Apparently if I think it’s the perfect time, I should go against my “perfect” feeling. When I miss the Thursday night game, not only do I most likely lose money which rarely makes me happy, but I feel like an idiot until Sunday when I get another shot to lose that feeling. Not fun.

14 Sep, 2017

Some Football Knowledge

By | 2017-09-14T17:07:11+00:00 September 14th, 2017|Off Topic|0 Comments

I’m sure from now on I’ll be updating on my results earlier but I’ve been on “vacation” and have this laptop instead of my dual monitor setup where I’m more comfortable.

Week 1 is in the books and it was moderately successful. I went 3-1 in my fantasy leagues, won $120 in my bets and lost $10 in Draftkings. Fantasy was mostly luck but I’m positioned well with my players in not having DJ anywhere. I rattled off 4 straight bets in the NFL only to bet 12 units on the Gmen which blew up in my face. The $10 loss in DK seemed reasonable as I didn’t connect big time with any one lineup.

I’d like to think I pay a lot of attention to fantasy lineups and as much as I hate to write this, I don’t understand what people are thinking on FA days. I’ve heard many people say that they always finish with money at the end so they don’t worry about spending it. I understand that philosophy but I must add that this is a 13 week season plus playoffs. When we are in week 12 and a leading RB goes down and I have 80 and you have 12, I’m in a good spot. The money is long term money and should be viewed as such unless there is some guy who is unbelievably valuable which is hard to pinpoint. Which brings me to defense and kicker streams. Every single week teams change. One week it makes sense to stream whoever plays Scott Tolzien or Tom Savage. It literally doesn’t matter what defense it is, it’ll have a better chance than whatever random defense you throw out each week. I feel this way about a kicker too but not as strong. I don’t intend to think I can get it right each week, I only know that it feels like an edge against people who don’t do it.

I’ll start posting my lineups before the weekend but this was as special week off.

12 Sep, 2017

Jim Carrey Interviews

By | 2017-09-12T10:24:56+00:00 September 12th, 2017|My Life|0 Comments

This guy is amazing. Normal people are probably like, “this guy is off his rocker.” I think he might be more advanced than anyone else on the planet. He doesn’t seem like he’s on drugs and the way this reporter is looking at him makes me think she’s the idiot, not him.  He’s just spouting off about tetrahedrons and meaningless existence and it looks like her head is about to explode. Apologies to Sam who told me to watch this and I stole it for my blog.

Then he follows it up with this banger. Great stuff.

8 Sep, 2017

Think Of A Worse Way To Start The Season…You Can’t

By | 2017-09-08T09:24:53+00:00 September 8th, 2017|Fantasy|0 Comments

To add insult to injury, Bud comments on my last post needling not only my post, but my incorrectness and my bank account. Brutal. Week 5 already has a big red bulls-eye circling it. Onward to some misery.

To go along with the shock of the Patriots getting beat at home in the season opener, with a 9 point spread, I managed to to last exactly 0 games in the losers pool which I decided to play for the first time. There were 3 9 point spreads (Pats, Steelers, and Bills) and I figured that the Pats were easily the best team and would have no problem defeating the Alex Smith led Patriots. Obviously that was incredibly wrong and it cost me $50 for the losers and $70 on the game. People are supposed to last the entire SEASON in the loser’s pool and I couldn’t make it 1 game. I hope this is a sign of “it can’t get any worse” instead of a “dude, give up.” Fortunately I didn’t get hurt too much in fantasy as only one guy I played had Gillislee to go along with Cooks and the Pats D. The 7 unit loss puts me back at even for the season as we plod on to week 1. This game is the perfect example of if you are so sure something is going to happen, do the opposite.

 

7 Sep, 2017

I Can’t Stand “Looks Great”

By | 2017-09-07T16:31:10+00:00 September 7th, 2017|My Brain|1 Comment

My day job atmosphere consists of me and Jeff. We don’t compliment each other. The work environment is get shit done and don’t expect a pat on the back for doing your job. As of late I’ve been working with a group of people in an association. Since no one gets paid in this association, you’re not required to do anything. So whenever I do work, it gets lauded with “looks great” and “great job”. It’s this insincere motivation that I don’t need.

I’m not emotional. Life is life and it can be over in a blink of an eye. When I’m driving down the road at 80mph’s there is always this doubt in my mind that the tires are going to fly off and I’m going to go careening mid air and wondering if the air bag will save my life. This thought didn’t enter my mind when I was 16. As you age, you start to appreciate how easily life can be taken away. Now it’s probably rarer than I think, but it can still happen. This leads me to the first sentence, I don’t get emotional when I know that life is what it is.

I’ve been watching Power and Tommy will kill a wanksta without thinking twice. No regard for the other human’s life. Rolla had a family! I’m getting off course a little bit from my main subject. People who say “good job” are probably good at not doing a “good job”. It’s like they are giving praise for work that they have no intention of producing. You can get away in this world by only producing compliments. It makes you fit in and become well liked but that doesn’t mean that it’s sincere. I’d much rather someone tell me “that sucks” than appeal to my insecurities by saying “it’s good”. Tell me this post sucks!

BTW, Pats – 9 tonight for 8 units. Count it @ even money.