Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans (+3.5)
Home dog. I don’t know if I need much more of an analysis than that for a first round playoff game with teams that don’t have high powered offenses. Alex Smith is a game manager and Brian Hoyer is Brian Hoyer. I’m a big Nuk Hopkins fan so he will be the entire Texans offense. I also give Alex Smith a HUGE amount of credit for what he does. 20 TD’s to 7 INT’s is solid and he’s athletic and runs for 1st downs. My target is not picking who is going to win this game, it’s if the Texans will cover the spread and I think they will. 3.5 isn’t 3. Being at home will be an advantage and even though I think the Chiefs are the superior team, I believe they will win the game but not cover the spread. Texans +3.5
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals (+3)
Another home dog. Another easy cover. There is no doubt in my mind that everyone and their grandmother would think that Big Ben and AB will run all over AJ McCarron. Football doesn’t work this way. Big Ben can struggle against a solid Bengals defense at home and the Bengals have weapons all over with Gio, J Hill, Sanu, and AJ Green. What I hope happens is that the Steelers win and the Bengals cover exactly what I’m hoping for in the 1st game. Now, this is going to sound incredibly stupid but if the first game goes reverse than what I hope, there is an even greater chance I jump harder on the Bengals because I don’t think that both home dogs won’t cover. Count it, Bengals +3
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