Let’s play the market

I’m by no means a worthy source for financial advice but every once in while even a blind squirrel finds a nut. I pointed out MOBI back at around 7 bucks a share and it risen as high as 11 before settling at 10 where it is now. I also have watched DANG pull back to near 24 and I think a buying opportunity is around 20 bucks a share. There are both Chinese, ecommerce stock plays and China’s market is poised for a slowdown so beware. I would personally sell MOBI any time it hits 11 and then see if you can buy back in on any dip. My thoughts are that the market is in for some tough times ahead. The dollar is starting to weaken again and other economies are looking for ways to diversify their money. When the dollar weakens, commodities tend to rise. I like purchasing agricultural ETF’s like MOO and DBA. Oil will also go higher which will bring the stock market down because businesses have higher costs and will cut into profits which will miss earnings forecasts. Moving out of equities now would seem timely considering what is up ahead. Buying puts on stocks that have risen so much like NFLX also crossed my mind.

Keep in consideration I am a mere simpleton and no nothing more then the rest of you. Also realize that financial advisers won’t give you much better advice because they are in it for one thing and that is to keep you as their client so they can make money off you. They don’t care if you win or lose as long as you stay their client. The plays I mentioned above are all pretty risky but that’s my general feeling on the market from someone who is so far out of tune what is really going on. This does document my thoughts though which is why I wrote it.

By |2011-03-01T21:03:56-05:00March 1st, 2011|My Brain|0 Comments

Blue Horseshoe loves Anacot Steel

Just a quick update on a few things I’ve mentioned previously. The Chinese IPO’s of DANG and YOKU are now trading at 34 and 30 dollars respectively. As the general public I didn’t even see YOKU at anything less than 27 dollars so I’m not sure where the IPO target of 9-11 comes from. I still have the same sentiment that these Chinese Internet stocks that mimic successful companies like Amazon and Youtube will increase in value. I’m going to give it a week or two and see if the stocks pull back at all (Dang to $30 and Yoku to $25) and then I’d probably take a position. Also Stern signed another 5 year contract with Sirius and that has surged the stock 10% this morning. I still like Sirius and would consider leaps as an option play. Finally some good news on TEVA too.

Nothing else of real interest. I had the Heat last night against the Jazz which proved to be an easy win. I was 1 for 2 on Tuesday and now we are coming up to the fun Thursday night games. Currently the Texans are getting 3.5 at home and my initial reaction is to bet the Colts. I would also guess most of the public feels that way too which would lead me to think that The Texans are going to play a close game. Chris Johnson has been a non-factor the last couple games and the Colts D isn’t too impressive so I would expect a big game from him. If Kerry Collins is the QB I think I like the Titans in this game. It may be by the half point but that’s why it’s there.

Also baseball salaries are getting out of hand. Carl Crawford is supposedly getting a 7 year $142 million dollar contract. Werth with a 7 year $126 million dollar contract… I would consider these guys above avg players but they are being paid superstar contracts. Werth hasn’t hit over .300 in his career and my best guess is now that he’s paid he’s going to lay off the juice and you’ll see his numbers way down. Plus he’ll be 39 when the contract is up and that’s just old for a baseball player. Crawford hits marginally above .300, steals bases, and gets hits but $20 million a year?!? Just seems like a lot of money considering he made $10 million the previous year and didn’t do anything different than he’s done previously.

By |2010-12-09T08:43:26-05:00December 9th, 2010|My Brain|0 Comments

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