Rob Kelly, get ready to like this post on Twitter.
The NFL Playoffs begin in a bit over and hour and I’m locked and loaded. After praising Adam’s sports betting prowess, he fed me two picks and bankrupted my account. Fortunately it must have been for a reason as I’m back today feeling more confident than ever, ready to turn 200 into 2k by the final whistle of the Super Bowl. Everyone needs a goal.
To do this I need to get off to a hot start. This means betting the first game which is the Raiders vs the Texans. The Texans have home field advantage and are laying 4 points to Connor Cook’s Oakland Raiders. I don’t like over-thinking these types of games. Looking through the Raiders schedule, you’d see that they have 3 losses with Derek Carr at QB and 2 of those were against the Chiefs, and the other against the Falcons. Both premiere teams (and my Super Bowl picks FWIW). They beat the Texans 27-20, in Mexico, on some questionable calls, in one of Brock Osweiler’s best performances of the season (243 yrds, 1 TD and 1 INT).
In this game, I intend to summon my inner Brian Hoyer and cast that on Brock Osweiler. What am I referring to? Just the 15 for 34 performance against the Chiefs last year that ended 30-0 while the Texans were home. This is not a new storyline for them. Do I expect it to be a close game? Of course. The O / U is 37 which means that not a lot of points will be scored. I think having the 4 will be the deal breaker and I wouldn’t call you a fool for taking the ML. I do like the over as well.
If, I cover the Raiders, I’ll be taking the winnings + my principal of the 100 and making a 2nd wager on the Seahawks. It’s 8 points. 8 is a lot in close games but Matthew Stafford is hurt and as much as I like Zach Zenner’s potential (I truly do), they aren’t going to roll into Seattle and issue a beat down. In fact, I think they get beat down. The Seahawks may not be the intimidating Seahawks of old, but it’s still the same CenturyLink field where they were 7-1 this year. It’s still 8 points you say. I’m not saying this is a absolutely, sure lock but I think you have to be crazy to bet on the Lions who lost by 21 to the Cowboys, and then by 7 to the Packers, in subsequent weeks.