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	Comments on: Philadelphia Phillies 2013 by Brookes	</title>
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	<description>Burning Money</description>
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		By: Brookes		</title>
		<link>https://www.rnningfool.com/6584/philadelphia-phillies-2013-by-brookes#comment-3784</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Brookes]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Dec 2012 15:38:13 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Phillies Offseason Update:

As it stands now, 5 of the 7 roster additions I suggested above are off the table - and have not been acquired by the Phillies. Ugh.

Here is a look at how the market has responded to these players and how the cost predictions have faired.

BJ Upton 
(Prediction: $13.25m / year)
Atlanta Braves pay $15m/ year for 5 years. Phillies offer $11m/year for 5 years.
Differential: + $1.75m / year

Mark Reynolds 
(Prediction: $9m / year or 3 yrs / $27m)
Cleveland Indians pay $6 for 1 year.
Differential: - $3m / year

Sean Burnett 
(Prediction: $3.2m or 3 years / $9.6m)
LA Angels pay $8m for 2 years. 
Differential: + $0.8m / year

Juan Pierre 
(Prediction: $800k - $1m)
Miami Marlins pay $1.6m for 1 year.
Differential: + $0.6 - $0.8m / year

Jonny Gomes 
(Prediction: $1m)
Boston Red Sox pay $10m for 2 years.
Differential: + $4m / year

That is a total differential of $4.15m contract dollars spread over 5 players - or $0.83m / player per year. If you negate the unwarranted contract the Red Sox gave Gomes the differential shrinks even more. 


A forthcoming Wilson Betemit trade seems unlikely with the acquisition of Michael Young. However, if his asking price comes down Derek Lowe could be the proven, cost-effective 4th/5th starter the Phillies seem to be focused on finding now. 

The Cleveland Indians got 30+HRs (and about 180K) from the RIGHT (!) side of the plate for $6m in Mark Reynolds. Considering we pay Ryan Howard $25m per year to do the same, I think this non-signing may be the biggest sneaky move loss for the Phillies. Howard makes about $1.2m per HR - while Reynolds will make only roughly $500k per long ball in 2013. No one wants to see 360K&#039;s from their 4 and 5 hitters...but 60+ HR would help most forget the empty swings.

With Halladay, Utley, Rollins and Lee all facing expiring contracts in the next 2 to 3 years expect some major overhauls and some heavy spending to occur. The nucleus of a new team is slowly finding its way to the majors. Darin Ruf (OF/1B), Dominic Brown (OF), Ben Revere (OF), Cody Asche (3B), Sebastian Valle (C) and the 3 &quot;Baby Aces&quot; to put behind Hamels. SS and 2B will be tough to restock at the same level we have become accustomed too though - especially in an always thin free agent market for the positions.

When Jayson Werth first became a premier player here unlicensed merchandising ensued - resulting in the exploding sales of female shirts noting &quot;Jayson Rings My Bell&quot;. The future is truly bright for the Phillies if one can spot a cluster of young females proudly sporting their &quot;I like it Ruf&quot; v-necks next September at Citizens Bank Park.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Phillies Offseason Update:</p>
<p>As it stands now, 5 of the 7 roster additions I suggested above are off the table &#8211; and have not been acquired by the Phillies. Ugh.</p>
<p>Here is a look at how the market has responded to these players and how the cost predictions have faired.</p>
<p>BJ Upton<br />
(Prediction: $13.25m / year)<br />
Atlanta Braves pay $15m/ year for 5 years. Phillies offer $11m/year for 5 years.<br />
Differential: + $1.75m / year</p>
<p>Mark Reynolds<br />
(Prediction: $9m / year or 3 yrs / $27m)<br />
Cleveland Indians pay $6 for 1 year.<br />
Differential: &#8211; $3m / year</p>
<p>Sean Burnett<br />
(Prediction: $3.2m or 3 years / $9.6m)<br />
LA Angels pay $8m for 2 years.<br />
Differential: + $0.8m / year</p>
<p>Juan Pierre<br />
(Prediction: $800k &#8211; $1m)<br />
Miami Marlins pay $1.6m for 1 year.<br />
Differential: + $0.6 &#8211; $0.8m / year</p>
<p>Jonny Gomes<br />
(Prediction: $1m)<br />
Boston Red Sox pay $10m for 2 years.<br />
Differential: + $4m / year</p>
<p>That is a total differential of $4.15m contract dollars spread over 5 players &#8211; or $0.83m / player per year. If you negate the unwarranted contract the Red Sox gave Gomes the differential shrinks even more. </p>
<p>A forthcoming Wilson Betemit trade seems unlikely with the acquisition of Michael Young. However, if his asking price comes down Derek Lowe could be the proven, cost-effective 4th/5th starter the Phillies seem to be focused on finding now. </p>
<p>The Cleveland Indians got 30+HRs (and about 180K) from the RIGHT (!) side of the plate for $6m in Mark Reynolds. Considering we pay Ryan Howard $25m per year to do the same, I think this non-signing may be the biggest sneaky move loss for the Phillies. Howard makes about $1.2m per HR &#8211; while Reynolds will make only roughly $500k per long ball in 2013. No one wants to see 360K&#8217;s from their 4 and 5 hitters&#8230;but 60+ HR would help most forget the empty swings.</p>
<p>With Halladay, Utley, Rollins and Lee all facing expiring contracts in the next 2 to 3 years expect some major overhauls and some heavy spending to occur. The nucleus of a new team is slowly finding its way to the majors. Darin Ruf (OF/1B), Dominic Brown (OF), Ben Revere (OF), Cody Asche (3B), Sebastian Valle (C) and the 3 &#8220;Baby Aces&#8221; to put behind Hamels. SS and 2B will be tough to restock at the same level we have become accustomed too though &#8211; especially in an always thin free agent market for the positions.</p>
<p>When Jayson Werth first became a premier player here unlicensed merchandising ensued &#8211; resulting in the exploding sales of female shirts noting &#8220;Jayson Rings My Bell&#8221;. The future is truly bright for the Phillies if one can spot a cluster of young females proudly sporting their &#8220;I like it Ruf&#8221; v-necks next September at Citizens Bank Park.</p>
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