I know people will read this who are also in the golf pool, *that I won last year*, but I don’t care. I’m here to either look like an idiot or a genius.
First off, I’ll start with actual information and not my opinion. Guys who are losing steam are Tiger, Jon Rahm, and Rickie Fowler. Reasons include too much hype, bad temper, and off his game respectively. I buy into most of these narratives to be honest. I wouldn’t blame anyone for picking any of these guys because they are incredibly talented and are are receiving odd analysis.
Golfers who are gaining steam are Justin Rose, Paul Casey, and Bubba Watson. People look at course history and current form and these guys are off the charts. These are going to be the highest owned guys and golfers who will not make you killer money in GPP’s.
3 golfers who are not going to be as owned as high as they should be are Jason Day, Dustin Johnson, and Justin Thomas. If you ask me who is going to win, I’d pick one of these 3 guys.
3 guys who I won’t be owning much of are Jordan Speith, Rory McIlroy, Phil Mickelson, and Sergio Garcia. Can these guys win the tournament? Yes. Do I think they will. No. I think Spieth is a head case after blowing up on the 12th in 2016. Rory won 2 weeks ago, but got beat by Peter Uilhein and Brian Harman in match play. If Phil hadn’t won for the 1st time in 5 years, no one would be saying shit. Sergio had a kid a few months ago and I am not a fan of the Spaniard and neither are the books. Out of these guys, I’d say Rory will do the best.
Who I Like
These are golfers who I will be putting money on and will be putting into various GPP lineups. Essentially these are guys who I don’t think will be high owned and have a shot to compete.
Louis Oosthuizen – 66-1. He has only played 5 tournaments in 2018 with 2 MC’s and performances of none better than 16th. It’s hard to make any case to select him. I put 10 bucks on him at 66-1.
Henrik Stenson – 40-1. Odds are way off on him. He’s 40-1 and got 4th and 6th in his last 2 tournaments. He stripes the ball a mile with his 3 wood.
Brian Harman – 100-1. Son of Tiger’s old coach Butch Harmon. He’s not a long hitter but has some solid results. He went 4th, 3rd, and 4th in a stretch in January. He found another 5th in March and, despite a poor showing in which he still made the cut at Arnold Palmer, he’s a sneaky, consistent play.
Bryson DeChambeau – 80-1. I don’t like Bryson. Flat out I think he’s a weirdo. At 80-1 though, it may make sense to take notice. He was 2nd in the Arnold Palmer, and was 5th a few weeks before that at the Phoenix Open. Do I think he’ll win? Probably not. He’s worth keeping an eye on.
You can literally make a case for any single golfer in the field. Masters talk is information overload. I do like to spread my lineups, but the goal is to make the cut (which is easier at Augusta) and not pick a shithead who explodes because it’s his first time playing the Masters and he forgets how to play because of nerves or anxiety. For instance, I don’t see a guy like Matt Kuchar imploding whereas Tommy Fleetwood or Alex Noren might self destruct.