The issue with daily stuff vs. season-long is kind of what John Oliver alluded to: specialization.

Daily leagues require movements/selections based on circumstance and situation – or “conditions”. Interpreting these dynamic “conditions” and making successful selections is much more difficult than betting on longer-term trends (or a season-long league). Obviously, Miggy is going to get or approach 30hrs and 100rbi – so your bet is safer because it’s a longer curve.

The fallacy of the daily leagues is their selling point that it’s “easier” and because of the daily nature, you have a better chance. You have MORE chances to play, but probably LESS chance to win – as obtaining the information required is more taxing.

If you draft Adrian Peterson for a season, he will have a bad game or two. But you are getting the productivity and consistency of having him – which is a safer bet for your team than not drafting him on the value of the two underwhelming games.

The daily leagues are like betting “who will have a good game/who will have a bad game”. Who will have a “good season” is much much easier to predict and forecast.